Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407e8d82ba7073986e1242115ec743752e2c51e6a9f98b9bc61b9a192a362071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,838,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,291,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,838,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 0c | 288,944$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 84,227$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 0c | 55,157$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 48,353$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.65 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 38,078$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,823$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 0c | 30,017$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,428$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 326 | 15.6%51 W · 275 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b0…c376backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 0c | 20,664$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,439$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 18,099$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…fb85backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,526$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5b…8873backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked Yes | 0c | 14,272$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 1c | 13,895$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…ac24backed Yes | 0c | 13,071$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 3c | 10,690$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…593cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,635$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 10,285$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…9f3abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…f38bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Yes | 1c | 9,514$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,385$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…41aebacked Yes | 0c | 8,722$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 0c | 8,702$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…7092backed Yes | 1c | 8,685$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 83 | 8.4%7 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 0c | 7,614$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 1c | 7,523$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…77cebacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,196$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,001$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,685$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…1438backed Yes | 0c | 5,043$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…abafbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…1631backed Yes | 1c | 4,661$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,590$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed Yes | 0c | 4,539$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 17.7%41 W · 191 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 4,293$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 1c | 4,120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 289 | 12.8%37 W · 252 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 4,098$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 1c | 3,972$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 1c | 3,769$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 0c | 3,728$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,551$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 1c | 3,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…2cd8backed Yes | 1c | 3,245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 261 | 13.8%36 W · 225 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…b91fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,899$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +414.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,847$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…eaf6backed Yes | 2c | 2,535$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 2,252$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes | 1c | 2,248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…48c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,224$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,157$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 2c | 2,016$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,974$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 118 | 5.9%7 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Yes | 1c | 1,860$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,728$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,425$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…7883backed Yes | 1c | 1,270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…1257backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…fadabacked Yes | 3c | 823.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…25d3backed Yes | 1c | 816.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 615.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…d3e4backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 17.3%24 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.