TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ede…47fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$23.56
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Abacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$26.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$66.38
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+120%+$320.23
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.06
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$121.13
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$280.68
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$742.91
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$108.99
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$84.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$67
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$37.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$69.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$13.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$9.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.3
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$416.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$34.97
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$40.67
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.05
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575.71
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$108.6
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$253.15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$31.27
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$35.82
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$61.67
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$26.95
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$26.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44%+$33.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.04
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$1,050.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$87.57
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$37.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.