CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8947d2aaeb360217d90c15268db7304b1f60a52837f055147a35a3c5b6411f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof MOUZ NXT, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked MOUZ NXT | 0c | 13,695$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 8,113$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.81 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed MOUZ NXT | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Lavked | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Lavked | 54c | 4,066$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 1,263$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.31 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,067$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.7 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…8e4cbacked MOUZ NXT | 3c | 1,033$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Lavked | 55c | 908.46$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.91 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 592.04$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 536.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 508.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 499.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Lavked | 55c | 444.2$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Lavked | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 11c | 331.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 312.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lavked | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 233.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 232.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 218$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 66c | 212.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Lavked | 59c | 211.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…c577backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 209.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Lavked | 52c | 180.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 177.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Lavked | 72c | 169.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 70c | 160.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 154.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 146.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 126.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 70c | 117.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Lavked | 73c | 105.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked MOUZ NXT | 17c | 102.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 101.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lavked | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Lavked | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 94.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 83.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Lavked | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Lavked | 55c | 59.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 59.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Lavked | 54c | 51.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 51.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 50.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…1f0abacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Lavked | 67c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 69c | 35.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Lavked | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 21.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Lavked | 54c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Lavked | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Lavked | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.