CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c25dc241a7063710e919604e6d8437ddada089b1239fbb3c22d133f6b68debf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof MOUZ NXT, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Lavked | 54c | 1,158$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.79 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 987.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 953.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 56c | 726.12$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.55 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 481.49$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 475$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Lavked | 32c | 166.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lavked | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lavked | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 62c | 110.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 110.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 82.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 75.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Lavked | 58c | 62.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 57.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 70c | 54.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 47.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Lavked | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Lavked | 65c | 26.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Lavked | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Lavked | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.