CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6ad681ae0d3a9caa55a407386449d40af10fd0d8239116033650035457ca18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Gentle Mates, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed magic | 41c | 40,245$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,744.32 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 26,196$15,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,193.42 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 25,000$14,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,485.27 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed magic | 47c | 23,204$10,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,285.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 42c | 18,848$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,925.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 17,510$10,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080.84 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed magic | 42c | 16,339$6,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.45 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 11,929$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040.15 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed magic | 63c | 11,714$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked magic | 70c | 10,918$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.49 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked magic | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.98 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 67c | 9,813$6,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked magic | 41c | 9,700$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,723 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 8,655$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.42 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed magic | 43c | 8,305$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 8,027$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 7,262$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.31 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 41c | 7,009$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.14 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 6,329$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked magic | 69c | 5,245$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Gentle Mates | 0c | 5,009$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked magic | 41c | 5,000$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.29 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed magic | 42c | 4,700$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 4,592$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.58 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 59c | 4,529$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 4,510$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.19 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed magic | 66c | 4,505$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.02 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 62c | 4,465$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.61 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed magic | 64c | 4,262$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 4,148$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed magic | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 3,333$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 3,182$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.68 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed magic | 42c | 3,069$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.84 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 2,578$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.74 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 2,493$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 62c | 2,400$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.25 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 42c | 2,294$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.25 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 42c | 2,183$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.33 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 2,079$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed magic | 41c | 2,048$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.32 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked magic | 73c | 2,042$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 1,995$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.41 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…3c8fbacked Gentle Mates | 26c | 1,928$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked magic | 57c | 1,829$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed magic | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed magic | 42c | 1,738$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,678$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked magic | 69c | 1,626$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,519$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.02 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 1,519$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.39 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 1,465$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.64 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed magic | 59c | 1,439$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.54 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked magic | 42c | 1,410$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,400$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.32 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 1,353$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,326$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.18 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked magic | 47c | 1,299$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.66 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked magic | 41c | 1,284$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.64 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.49 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed magic | 42c | 1,249$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.19 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed magic | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed magic | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 42c | 1,183$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.97 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 1,130$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.02 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked magic | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 1,076$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 1,044$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.89 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.35 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed magic | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed magic | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed magic | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…e2fbbacked Gentle Mates | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed magic | 50c | 979.16$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.58 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 912.28$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 854.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 854.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…d248backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked magic | 68c | 845.7$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…a94abacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 827.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 822.03$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 802.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked magic | 41c | 779$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.61 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.