CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a210c6024319d26e93d70a0fae0d59589acd9b145acf63381e4c3d02d5951f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Gentle Mates, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2662…3f84backed magic | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 590.86$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked magic | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 70c | 197.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 188$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 166.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed magic | 69c | 146$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed magic | 69c | 144.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 124.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 73.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed magic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 66.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked magic | 71c | 59.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 70c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked magic | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 34.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed magic | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic | 69c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.