CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9392f43d097bc58a3ee312ce54ec14e548fa9793bb7525c8e54ec78b15240ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe840…013fbacked Over | 1c | 10,290$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 7,591$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.25 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 27c | 3,226$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,825$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Under | 49c | 1,406$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 32c | 842.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.32 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 68c | 836.92$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.18 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 51c | 632.37$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 32c | 571.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 373.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 39c | 372.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 49c | 326.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Over | 60c | 308.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 274.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 255$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 50c | 254$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 45c | 246.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 52c | 202.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 52c | 128.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 59c | 128.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 126.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 68c | 120.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Over | 47c | 99.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 48c | 93.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Under | 16c | 91.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 33c | 81.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 32c | 72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…6464backed Under | 40c | 53.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 42.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 37.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Under | 48c | 31.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 50c | 30.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…2dc5backed Over | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 70c | 29.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 24.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 75c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.