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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Astralis, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy73c16,426$11,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.3150754%274 W · 233 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Legacy49c14,328$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.541640.4%168 W · 248 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Astralis53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30018236.8%67 W · 115 L-17.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98fc…6e31backed Astralis41c9,825$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Astralis55c9,186$5,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,041.979147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Astralis23c8,800$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.219232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy45c8,693$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy66c7,524$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.222,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Astralis50c4,772$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.5743351.5%223 W · 210 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy66c3,717$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.972,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Astralis7c3,023$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0816653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…55a2backed Astralis39c2,574$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Legacy65c2,474$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.213,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Astralis30c2,158$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy46c1,982$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.581,63844.6%731 W · 907 L+3.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81076945.3%348 W · 421 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Legacy73c1,357$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy46c1,309$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.9276350.6%386 W · 377 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Legacy68c1,000$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0955843.2%241 W · 317 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Astralis22c979.55$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.511443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Astralis14c872.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.310333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Astralis10c750.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis58c720.49$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis30c711.54$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.572,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Legacy77c698.95$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1926975.5%203 W · 66 L+25.9wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy70c651.83$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.674,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Astralis24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Astralis36c519.97$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6310133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Legacy47c514.9$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3711442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Astralis3c505.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked Astralis23c502$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.469040%36 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Astralis54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis54c496.36$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27035550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Legacy69c486.67$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.611863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Legacy68c457.48$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3910344.7%46 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis42c450$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.736555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy50c445.69$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.594,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Astralis45c424.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.542,60652.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L+96.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis42c392.68$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.496,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis25c356$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…47fabacked Legacy80c348.11$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.993070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Legacy64c330.95$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Legacy77c318.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.025,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Legacy46c299.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9926341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy68c282.69$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3889748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Legacy47c276.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.610532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Legacy46c275$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.556851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Astralis22c273.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.255328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Astralis43c259.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.620045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf1…b788backed Astralis20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis23c223.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.291,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3328…6464backed Astralis43c211.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Astralis35c211.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Astralis55c203.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222956.8%130 W · 99 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Astralis28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Astralis54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.28758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Astralis35c173$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis40c170.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.991,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Legacy63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis51c158.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7866151.9%343 W · 318 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Astralis23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3560455.1%333 W · 271 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Astralis53c144.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6326245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Astralis23c142.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.795653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Astralis53c139.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1963638.4%244 W · 392 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Astralis31c131$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,68532.7%551 W · 1,134 L-48.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.664,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Legacy47c123.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Legacy47c122.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1827949.5%138 W · 141 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed Astralis54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.813333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Astralis41c115.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Astralis37c106.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.571,63443.2%706 W · 928 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Astralis33c101.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6142447.4%201 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,71352.2%895 W · 818 L-75.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5541649.3%205 W · 211 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Astralis35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355149%25 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed Legacy71c99.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2832258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Legacy68c98.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321,55433.9%527 W · 1,027 L-73.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy46c94.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.542,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Astralis33c92.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.024,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Astralis46c92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3646342.5%197 W · 266 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Astralis32c85.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.812,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xae65…70debacked Astralis55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455940.7%24 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis25c80.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Astralis31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.720457.8%118 W · 86 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Astralis36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11,51258.1%878 W · 634 L+67.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Legacy47c67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5111652.6%61 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc756…f276backed Astralis55c66.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Astralis55c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7536749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Legacy46c64.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513954%75 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Astralis23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Legacy71c60.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Astralis27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.227150.6%137 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Astralis53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Astralis53c52.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.071,40666.4%933 W · 473 L+77.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d8…e2e8backed Astralis55c52.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Astralis54c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Astralis53c49.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1334348.4%166 W · 177 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.