CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e4fa7e8273740217108f56b1442bb7fb01a738bf6ed7449b8ef20a5a61caee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Astralis, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 34c | 18,160$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy | 50c | 12,500$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,262.94 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Astralis | 48c | 11,314$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.05 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 50c | 6,338$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 68c | 5,573$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Legacy | 57c | 5,136$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.55 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Legacy | 61c | 3,462$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.7 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy | 64c | 2,732$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.25 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 46c | 1,874$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Legacy | 75c | 1,753$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 33c | 1,671$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Legacy | 66c | 1,349$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 51c | 1,163$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.14 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Legacy | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 12c | 1,010$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy | 66c | 955.2$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.34 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy | 64c | 924.67$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Astralis | 50c | 913.22$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.91 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 67c | 828.18$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Legacy | 69c | 808.84$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Legacy | 64c | 609.01$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Legacy | 53c | 563.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.89 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 27c | 509.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Legacy | 62c | 504$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Legacy | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Astralis | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…1a93backed Astralis | 50c | 488.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Legacy | 52c | 481.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 30c | 395.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Legacy | 51c | 386.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 31c | 376$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Legacy | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Astralis | 41c | 356.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Astralis | 43c | 321.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Astralis | 40c | 290.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 31c | 272.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 35c | 267.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Astralis | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Astralis | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Legacy | 78c | 249.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Legacy | 50c | 240.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Legacy | 73c | 232.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Astralis | 56c | 230.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Astralis | 21c | 229.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Astralis | 47c | 212.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Astralis | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked Legacy | 68c | 159.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Legacy | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Legacy | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Legacy | 48c | 129.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…03a0backed Astralis | 57c | 113.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Legacy | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Astralis | 20c | 105.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 33c | 103.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed Astralis | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Astralis | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Legacy | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Legacy | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Legacy | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 47c | 95.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Astralis | 56c | 89.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Astralis | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Astralis | 40c | 79.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Legacy | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Astralis | 28c | 72.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 22c | 70.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Legacy | 67c | 70.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Legacy | 51c | 69.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Legacy | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…540cbacked Astralis | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Legacy | 80c | 63.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Legacy | 58c | 62.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Legacy | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Legacy | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 55c | 58.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed Legacy | 64c | 57.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked Legacy | 73c | 51.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Legacy | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Astralis | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Astralis | 46c | 46.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Legacy | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Astralis | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…c9f7backed Astralis | 31c | 39.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Legacy | 52c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 65c | 35.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Legacy | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.