CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86eaba3fed98df7cfeb9d92b4bff7743d24d28bbab732ce246ec2c118dee2d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof Guara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Guara Esports | 63c | 1,870$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.15 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Guara Esports | 65c | 980.16$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 729.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.91 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 512.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Guara Esports | 64c | 484.95$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guara Esports | 55c | 455.76$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 397.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 368.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 359.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 322.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Guara Esports | 39c | 250.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 45c | 239.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports | 77c | 213.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 54c | 181.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports | 70c | 180.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 165.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guara Esports | 66c | 120.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 116.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 114.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 110.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Guara Esports | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 97.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 92.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 91.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Guara Esports | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 62.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Guara Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…246fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 58.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 54.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Guara Esports | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 49.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 41.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Guara Esports | 66c | 40.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Guara Esports | 65c | 37.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 37.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Guara Esports | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…5d7bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guara Esports | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…23cabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guara Esports | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Guara Esports | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Guara Esports | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)METANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.