CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97a7614dd53a169ad6b2039bde8e39ba8a79cc38131a2d25a72fd8d21aa078a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof Guara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guara Esports | 77c | 1,328$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.37 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guara Esports | 68c | 973.47$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.26 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 940$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 909.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.77 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 751.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Guara Esports | 66c | 740.23$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 512.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 343.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.95 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 276.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 72c | 195.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Guara Esports | 62c | 163.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Guara Esports | 33c | 160.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Guara Esports | 58c | 156$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Guara Esports | 70c | 149.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Guara Esports | 22c | 146.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 142$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 107.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 70c | 89.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Guara Esports | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 53.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 40.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Guara Esports | 70c | 37.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Guara Esports | 71c | 34.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Guara Esports | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Guara Esports | 66c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Guara Esports | 80c | 19.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guara Esports | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Guara Esports | 70c | 18.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Guara Esports | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)METANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.