TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof Natus Vincere, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere77c31,938$24,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,433.3276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed GamerLegion23c27,049$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,704.141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GamerLegion24c25,292$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,122.6523145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere75c20,265$15,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,143.2750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere76c20,145$15,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,310.239551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion24c18,698$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,147.442,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked GamerLegion44c12,375$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,890.9541040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked GamerLegion47c11,186$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,951.818748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed GamerLegion26c10,451$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,700.476126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion38c9,216$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,673.182,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere72c8,813$6,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,347.3221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere73c6,325$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.6427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed GamerLegion47c5,737$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.5138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere71c5,600$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,97642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed GamerLegion24c5,555$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.7888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion51c5,375$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.581,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked GamerLegion28c5,331$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.729232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed GamerLegion22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed GamerLegion65c4,639$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.393842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed Natus Vincere52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.912070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ac…9170backed Natus Vincere77c4,148$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60d…9f09backed Natus Vincere73c4,129$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere52c4,023$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.3332425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Natus Vincere74c3,461$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.4738954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Natus Vincere51c3,184$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.6826438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere43c3,160$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.3748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked GamerLegion26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22016447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Natus Vincere52c2,995$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.8531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Natus Vincere22c2,720$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4935861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere78c2,658$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.8876748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Natus Vincere78c2,567$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa066…d240backed Natus Vincere2c2,400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404219%8 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+232.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked Natus Vincere15c2,015$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.29040%36 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion31c1,988$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.382,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Natus Vincere52c1,825$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9532254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Natus Vincere68c1,719$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.312259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed Natus Vincere19c1,689$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed GamerLegion65c1,630$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.695735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd18a…619cbacked GamerLegion23c1,592$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.331250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked GamerLegion44c1,580$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GamerLegion28c1,506$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.4578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked GamerLegion35c1,457$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.4620935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere42c1,438$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked GamerLegion62c1,371$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.973363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed GamerLegion28c1,317$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion53c1,315$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.286,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere59c1,307$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.634,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Natus Vincere61c1,307$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.5413357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed GamerLegion25c1,300$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97517162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere46c1,201$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.521,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion35c1,138$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.987,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed Natus Vincere62c1,120$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.052920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion41c1,107$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.653,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21fe…7b71backed Natus Vincere72c1,107$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion26c1,091$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.535,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere58c1,076$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6252,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6583…53fdbacked Natus Vincere78c1,063$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.141656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere15c1,060$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.455,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere40c999.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9944939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Natus Vincere64c994.24$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3130348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Natus Vincere78c973.92$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.6612852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere77c966.8$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere56c949.58$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.414,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere66c939.39$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Natus Vincere54c930$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.218356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion26c912$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8885446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere21c850$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17558755.9%328 W · 259 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Natus Vincere74c805.41$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Natus Vincere37c798.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere70c709.49$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a42…ad20backed Natus Vincere6c700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion25c675.3$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4832042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Natus Vincere75c661.12$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8433950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere61c605.7$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Natus Vincere4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Natus Vincere6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked GamerLegion24c488.7$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Natus Vincere42c479.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere72c472.53$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion35c457.48$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4852837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere69c441.89$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.591,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Natus Vincere69c441.79$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4815743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Natus Vincere46c434.26$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.348161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked Natus Vincere78c431.33$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.095754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…b2b5backed GamerLegion61c428.79$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.215450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…3a6ebacked Natus Vincere75c401.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked GamerLegion80c400$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9231253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Natus Vincere75c397.04$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7822259.9%133 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Natus Vincere67c390$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.342050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere60c384.94$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere62c378.44$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere37c368$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.393,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0900…6258backed Natus Vincere45c350$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.694148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere31c349.09$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.422,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere76c338.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25826075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked GamerLegion48c326.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.523033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Natus Vincere27c324$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712525.6%32 W · 93 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed GamerLegion62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.