CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4587c8c4c1d1a015b391f4980c5635c637044722fee3fdb3e3115c204f54a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 58c | 3,440$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 42c | 1,039$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 42c | 999$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Over | 43c | 991$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.87 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 41c | 831.69$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 42c | 638.24$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 58c | 628.27$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.74 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 25c | 495.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.85 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 58c | 429.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 41c | 417.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 351.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Over | 44c | 350.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 40c | 346.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Under | 64c | 329.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 319.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 56c | 296.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 280.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 75c | 279$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 58c | 271$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 65c | 255.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 57c | 245.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Over | 35c | 239.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed Over | 43c | 227.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 76c | 198.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 35c | 184.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 61c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 65c | 152.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 79c | 128.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 59c | 121.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 43c | 118.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 22c | 95.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 52c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 57c | 68.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Under | 60c | 66.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Under | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 42c | 62.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 70c | 59.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…b953backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 56c | 47.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 41c | 37.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…2691backed Over | 44c | 33.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Under | 61c | 28.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.