Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61bfce350d91e3ec30e0a5f453975047d5495735d2bf593aae72219277b2f05e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $332,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,958 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	36,589$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.15	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	15,214$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	14,413$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.79	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	9,805$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.79	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	11c	8,775$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.84	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	8,488$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.89	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	8,087$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bd…c997backed Yes	0c	6,970$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	6c	6,170$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.8	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	5,555$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	2c	5,279$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.36	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	4,772$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.02	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	6c	4,427$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.37	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	13c	4,308$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.42	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0428…b167backed Yes	0c	4,308$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5a…5bccbacked Yes	4c	3,644$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.37	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	3,323$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.75	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,313$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.06	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,090$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	7c	2,749$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.51	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	2,716$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	6c	2,617$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.02	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	6c	2,378$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.78	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d47…0ed2backed Yes	2c	2,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,981$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.3	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,926$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8634…3912backed Yes	2c	1,882$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	6c	1,769$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c33…f910backed Yes	10c	1,676$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.25	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	12c	1,631$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,487$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a6…e06abacked Yes	3c	1,456$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,441$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	5c	1,417$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.26	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	1,412$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.53	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	9c	1,368$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	5c	1,300$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.3	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	10c	1,214$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	1,213$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	5c	1,202$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.33	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,177$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.12	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	4c	1,119$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	7c	999.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.27	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	999.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	972.89$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	3c	945$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…df78backed Yes	6c	866.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	782.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…47fabacked Yes	9c	775.76$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	6c	746.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	8c	704.72$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.64	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d727backed Yes	9c	690.43$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	7c	681.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98fc…c478backed Yes	5c	670.33$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.13	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11c5…79d8backed Yes	8c	635.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	2c	550$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	539.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	9c	538.96$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee5…3345backed Yes	4c	500.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	3c	500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	10c	403.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.62	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	7c	400$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	385.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	377.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3811…106fbacked Yes	11c	362.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e74…13ebbacked Yes	9c	355.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	8c	347.38$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0f…098fbacked Yes	4c	335.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…d78bbacked Yes	10c	320$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	9c	313.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes	10c	300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec07…ca80backed Yes	6c	291.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…c4a8backed Yes	15c	290$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	5c	275.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	13c	273.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	5c	270.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	15c	268.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	11c	247.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	16c	244.83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	6c	244.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	6c	224.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	6c	220$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	7c	217.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	5c	215$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x951a…6866backed Yes	18c	197.72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+97%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	7c	194.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9443…7c5dbacked Yes	8c	171.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…67b8backed Yes	16c	150$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.55	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b33…6abcbacked Yes	9c	116.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5034…3f34backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event