Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751a4d9606a37c86f62028c3e991db956cee064541f46c0fdca0ac678c5aecf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 0c | 65,097$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 37,157$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.72 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 3c | 30,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 27,484$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.03 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 7c | 18,909$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.63 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 22c | 16,750$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.99 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…d8c3backed Yes | 0c | 14,797$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 13,916$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…cf39backed Yes | 0c | 10,344$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9017backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 1c | 9,891$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 16c | 9,599$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 9,469$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8833backed Yes | 0c | 8,614$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 18c | 7,631$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.81 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 7,314$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.14 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 326 | 15.6%51 W · 275 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 24c | 6,500$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.71 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…0c8ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,349$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 6c | 6,140$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.39 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 9c | 5,939$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.63 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 18c | 5,738$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.3 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 5,002$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,899$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.71 | 303 | 10.9%33 W · 270 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 78c | 4,777$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.12 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 4,544$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 0c | 3,806$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 14c | 3,574$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,523$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…82b2backed Yes | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,499$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked Yes | 1c | 3,439$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 8c | 2,870$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 11c | 2,830$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 289 | 12.8%37 W · 252 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 1c | 2,710$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 580 | 11.4%66 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,542$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 0c | 2,404$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 2,355$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.18 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,296$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 5c | 2,268$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 12c | 2,134$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 4c | 2,110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 12c | 2,100$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,100$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…9a02backed Yes | 24c | 2,048$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,024$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,969$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 13c | 1,938$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,929$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 114 | 8.8%10 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,779$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 11c | 1,769$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 178 | 24.7%44 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,721$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…1faebacked Yes | 23c | 1,646$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 13c | 1,626$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.88 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,589$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 94 | 16%15 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,524$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff3…6f4fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,448$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…e06abacked Yes | 12c | 1,372$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,347$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…5f38backed Yes | 21c | 1,158$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 79c | 1,146$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 1,123$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,044$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes | 21c | 1,021$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes | 23c | 1,014$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…a3f6backed Yes | 7c | 987.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…e25abacked Yes | 8c | 940.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…6931backed Yes | 19c | 924.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 4c | 880$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 77c | 863.52$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 248 | 73%181 W · 67 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes | 15c | 847.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…c601backed Yes | 19c | 846.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…6dbabacked Yes | 16c | 812.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 810$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…eaf6backed Yes | 14c | 800$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Yes | 5c | 799.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 16c | 762.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…ae68backed Yes | 5c | 756.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 17c | 746$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…185cbacked Yes | 22c | 724.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 2c | 722.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e8…c488backed Yes | 21c | 710.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 23c | 699.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…e0eebacked Yes | 19c | 657.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 18c | 653.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 18c | 649.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 106 | 17%18 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…0d39backed Yes | 22c | 632.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 4c | 626.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 14c | 619.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 601.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.