Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ab559f505428cbdb172119a0297f044233b7e680e4f9322d2f82021accd092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,060,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,060,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 1c | 97,784$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.93 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 0c | 61,110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 5.6%10 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,272$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 35,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 2c | 31,170$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.06 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,704$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 28,129$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 18,503$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 18,471$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 16,456$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 0c | 13,332$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 0c | 13,278$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +1,823.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 12,557$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 1c | 9,544$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 1c | 9,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 303 | 10.9%33 W · 270 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,943$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,245$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 6,777$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed Yes | 3c | 6,720$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 17.7%41 W · 191 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…6ec5backed Yes | 1c | 6,049$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 2c | 5,145$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 5,076$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 0cpaid | +13,285.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,952$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 1c | 4,921$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes | 1c | 4,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed Yes | 1c | 4,714$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…3b02backed Yes | 0c | 4,298$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 4,263$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,797$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,588$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,515$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 8.8%11 W · 114 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,277$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 3,167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 1c | 3,113$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,080$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 342 | 3.5%12 W · 330 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 1c | 3,016$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 1c | 2,982$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…7774backed Yes | 0c | 2,715$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…16debacked Yes | 2c | 2,601$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,562$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 153 | 9.8%15 W · 138 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 2,506$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…c249backed Yes | 1c | 2,476$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…b921backed Yes | 1c | 2,443$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,385$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,367$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,311$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 2c | 2,284$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 289 | 12.8%37 W · 252 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,252$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 2c | 2,226$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,177$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 326 | 15.6%51 W · 275 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,068$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,020$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…9446backed Yes | 1c | 2,018$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,998$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 7.8%9 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 1c | 1,980$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 1c | 1,960$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,949$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…1b37backed Yes | 1c | 1,937$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…d54abacked Yes | 2c | 1,923$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…f595backed Yes | 1c | 1,917$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,851$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 1c | 1,832$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,579$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,430$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes | 1c | 1,414$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 3c | 1,306$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…2b55backed Yes | 2c | 1,288$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…1087backed Yes | 3c | 1,136$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 1,117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,066$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,052$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,051$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 1c | 1,013$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 416 | 10.6%44 W · 372 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…2438backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 1c | 988.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed Yes | 1c | 916.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes | 3c | 869.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 114 | 16.7%19 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 2c | 835.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…be63backed Yes | 2c | 712$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 143 | 14%20 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 2c | 702.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.