Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3c87d49fd8d16969984707f8fe9d927a26f358c9c0dc4c4ab9a5c3b6d7c655

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $987,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $819,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	20c	54,099$10,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,539.52	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	58c	53,411$31,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,393.37	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	27c	27,710$7,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,314.54	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	16c	18,059$2,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,164.64	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	20c	15,944$3,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142.87	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	10,429$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,166.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed Yes	0c	10,200$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,174.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	0cpaid	+13,285.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	17c	9,788$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.96	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	8c	8,725$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.71	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	51c	8,222$4,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,030.78	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	55c	6,737$3,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.67	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	9c	6,432$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.07	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	6,252$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,083.01	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	3c	6,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,800.56	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed No	2c	5,771$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.29	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	20c	5,765$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,589.38	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…2d33backed No	42c	5,328$2,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,259.08	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	30c	5,196$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,643.59	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	17c	4,811$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,008.08	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ea…55a5backed Yes	59c	4,771$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,971.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	3c	4,702$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,568.92	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	16c	4,655$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,917.22	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	42c	4,502$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,912.06	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	61c	4,102$2,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,503.88	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	4,100$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,883	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	39c	4,076$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,488.86	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	29c	3,967$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,816.02	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	8c	3,842$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,550.4	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	4c	3,810$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.46	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	46c	3,683$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686.33	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	51c	3,606$1,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.93	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	19c	3,577$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.56	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	3,571$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,396.31	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	25c	3,333$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.57	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	3,200$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,174.4	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	43c	3,189$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,829.24	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked No	24c	3,098$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.04	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	75c	3,000$2,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.13	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No	47c	2,881$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.58	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	33c	2,866$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,928.07	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	13c	2,724$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,375.68	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	11c	2,709$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.14	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021f…4ec7backed Yes	44c	2,531$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.51	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked No	60c	2,512$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	2,484$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,384.1	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	77c	2,444$1,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.42	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	27c	2,425$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,778.83	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	3c	2,414$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.91	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	44c	2,392$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.99	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	23c	2,316$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.38	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	20c	2,288$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,826.89	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	15c	2,269$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.11	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	27c	2,252$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.84	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	69c	2,244$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541.45	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	4c	2,240$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.14	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,209$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.65	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed No	5c	2,156$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.9	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	50c	2,114$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.61	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	36c	2,073$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.43	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No	65c	2,068$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.79	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	26c	2,065$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.01	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a8…1befbacked Yes	53c	2,007$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+124.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	2,000$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	2,000$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,745.44	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	4c	1,979$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,901.01	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	60c	1,947$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.46	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	30c	1,940$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,352.08	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	12c	1,898$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.42	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	23c	1,882$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.67	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	49c	1,861$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.01	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	56c	1,854$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.15	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	38c	1,817$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,122.63	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	9c	1,760$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.5	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	63c	1,739$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.12	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	75c	1,707$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.1	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	65c	1,650$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.87	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8461…d9bfbacked Yes	64c	1,643$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.79	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	53c	1,604$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.47	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…559fbacked Yes	57c	1,529$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	20c	1,527$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.53	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	8c	1,512$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.4	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	2c	1,500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.99	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	4c	1,499$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.09	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb75…33f6backed Yes	34c	1,490$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	15cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed No	7c	1,436$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	39c	1,434$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.49	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	39c	1,420$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.11	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,384$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.69	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	1,382$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.42	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c5…e133backed Yes	78c	1,366$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.16	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	4c	1,362$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.87	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No	5c	1,348$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	1,343$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.3	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	53c	1,343$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.96	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed No	80c	1,319$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.62	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec8…9f6abacked No	70c	1,318$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.39	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc4…eaaebacked Yes	59c	1,289$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.77	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	61c	1,287$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.46	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event