TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c11…ef93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$410
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+310.4%+$594.32
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$145.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.99
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.99
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Jesper de Jong vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Jannik Sinner vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$11.53
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashibacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$59.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$41.5
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$73.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.25
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$20.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$15.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$13.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.