TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daria Snigurof Daria Snigur, Paula Badosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$604,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Paula Badosa28c40,451$11,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,328.7593140.4%376 W · 555 L-32.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Daria Snigur57c30,725$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,224.9636247%170 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01d…6365backed Paula Badosa0c22,800$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-84.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0629…0588backed Paula Badosa16c19,066$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Paula Badosa35c11,134$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.473,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Paula Badosa43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3004,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Paula Badosa36c8,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Paula Badosa12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Daria Snigur51c7,642$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.591,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Daria Snigur46c7,516$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.4933955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Paula Badosa49c7,418$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.871,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Daria Snigur52c6,744$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.139355.9%52 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Paula Badosa32c6,471$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Paula Badosa45c6,062$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.9510159.4%60 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Paula Badosa36c5,083$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.61,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paula Badosa37c4,685$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.256,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Daria Snigur54c4,666$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Paula Badosa43c4,500$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.986445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daria Snigur65c4,360$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.398,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Daria Snigur76c4,348$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.6353655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Paula Badosa55c4,203$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.031,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Snigur56c3,743$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.484,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Paula Badosa15c3,061$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9727154.2%147 W · 124 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daria Snigur72c3,060$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.785,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Paula Badosa49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Paula Badosa22c2,972$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.264,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Daria Snigur69c2,556$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.074,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Paula Badosa45c2,396$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.73,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Paula Badosa43c2,298$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6178540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paula Badosa54c2,267$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.399,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Daria Snigur51c2,000$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.21,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Daria Snigur55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Daria Snigur57c1,681$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8421046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Paula Badosa12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008331.3%26 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Daria Snigur56c1,607$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1426847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daria Snigur68c1,493$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.794,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Paula Badosa48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Paula Badosa42c1,414$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Daria Snigur51c1,405$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.751,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Paula Badosa45c1,364$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6447842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Paula Badosa45c1,364$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6441941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Paula Badosa44c1,354$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Paula Badosa20c1,350$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Paula Badosa9c1,287$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Paula Badosa44c1,020$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.81,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paula Badosa35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Paula Badosa50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Daria Snigur44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Paula Badosa45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Daria Snigur50c973$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.581,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Daria Snigur44c909.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Paula Badosa45c909.09$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0943643.8%191 W · 245 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Daria Snigur68c902.29$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6715261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Paula Badosa45c894.05$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.321,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paula Badosa49c892.61$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2347854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Paula Badosa54c888$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5238550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Daria Snigur68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3524562%152 W · 93 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Paula Badosa48c862.5$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41412248.4%59 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Paula Badosa42c851.51$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7566444.6%296 W · 368 L+29.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paula Badosa41c822.45$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.238,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Paula Badosa38c801.84$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1820351.2%104 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Paula Badosa50c787.44$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Paula Badosa43c735.44$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2478336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Paula Badosa48c729.16$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Paula Badosa13c718.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.823315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Paula Badosa21c718.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.291,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Paula Badosa16c679.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.672,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x513b…ade9backed Daria Snigur74c669.39$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.881675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Paula Badosa30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Daria Snigur50c649.9$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.954,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Paula Badosa34c649.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.831,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Daria Snigur50c611.54$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.771,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Paula Badosa7c600.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3874712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paula Badosa44c600$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paula Badosa16c598.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.466,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Daria Snigur68c564.84$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.851,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Paula Badosa36c560.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5310834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paula Badosa34c555$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.457,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Paula Badosa21c549.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.442,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Daria Snigur55c536.36$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3627739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Paula Badosa53c531.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Paula Badosa53c500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.814,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Paula Badosa47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.92,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Paula Badosa28c486.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3163144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Paula Badosa23c465.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.171,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Paula Badosa22c448.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Paula Badosa32c433.65$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7721351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Paula Badosa26c412.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.19150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Paula Badosa16c406.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Paula Badosa24c395.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Paula Badosa45c365.55$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Daria Snigur68c351.51$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4827040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Daria Snigur58c344$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4822667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Paula Badosa42c338$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9694940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paula Badosa43c330.85$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.277,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Paula Badosa44c325.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5337047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Paula Badosa54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daria Snigur74c315.22$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Paula Badosa45c311$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.821,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Daria Snigur55c303$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.355567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.