Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5612ae19144a0229d602b7cb79f069d6cc07389ebd0efc7d56f830540be68ebe

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $396,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $262,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,180 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	52,309$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.12	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	16c	30,857$4,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,962.07	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	3c	18,633$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.29	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	1c	8,551$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	23c	8,529$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.16	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	4c	6,213$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.41	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes	4c	5,999$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.92	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	5,694$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	7c	5,160$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.21	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	29c	5,032$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.97	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	4,320$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.39	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	4,241$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	26c	4,149$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	17c	4,091$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.68	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	3c	4,000$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	3,980$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.67	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	3,664$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.49	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	74c	3,630$2,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.97	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	7c	3,407$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.28	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	3,174$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	2c	3,145$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.27	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4827…7d38backed Yes	18c	2,963$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.06	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	32cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	16c	2,961$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.74	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	2,865$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.68	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	24c	2,701$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.38	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	18c	2,617$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.15	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	77c	2,383$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.96	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	5c	2,382$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.84	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	4c	2,056$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	78c	1,845$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.57	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	18c	1,826$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.35	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	25c	1,641$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.13	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	1,500$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.15	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	4c	1,478$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	8c	1,473$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.68	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	1c	1,465$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20fc…7ac9backed Yes	31c	1,453$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	5c	1,382$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	29c	1,337$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.42	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	1c	1,191$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	1,189$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.98	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	9c	1,169$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.48	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	4c	1,150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	22c	1,139$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	34c	1,100$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.6	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	1,090$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.36	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb816…9e90backed Yes	3c	1,082$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	2c	1,030$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	1,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	30c	1,000$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	7c	963.43$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.42	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	953.81$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	25c	935.8$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	908.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	18c	888.01$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.89	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	79c	843.55$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.87	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	2c	828.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	21c	826.2$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes	33c	825.96$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	21c	815.87$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	11c	805$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	24c	792.27$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.81	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	20c	785.68$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.06	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	19c	765.31$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.92	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	30c	763.93$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.48	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	35c	755.54$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.68	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	13c	742.66$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	741.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…f073backed No	80c	700$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	79c	681.94$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.43	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	675.33$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	660.33$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.14	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	11c	640.31$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.47	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	6c	630$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	21c	620.74$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.75	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf67b…1ac0backed Yes	22c	609.09$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.9	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	39c	608.82$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.35	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	22c	573.72$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	25c	572.93$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.29	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	570.43$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.96	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	78c	552.18$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.5	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	6c	547.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed No	66c	546.02$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.4	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea40…2698backed Yes	22c	535.85$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	34c	531.4$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.91	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f7…9ed6backed Yes	3c	512.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	28c	508.7$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e1…e102backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	16c	495.2$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.48	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	472.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	3c	468.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	15c	465.71$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.99	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	21c	450$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Yes	6c	410$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event