Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3cf70ea267727652404ce7a45e89d789bd74d9912cc2e2da2367555c0e52e8d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $203,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	11,460$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	1c	10,444$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.05	161	22.4%36 W · 125 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	9,955$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.9	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	7c	6,975$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.51	186	16.1%30 W · 156 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	0c	6,350$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	5,324$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.27	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	6c	4,893$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.82	177	17.5%31 W · 146 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	3,944$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	1c	2,999$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Yes	8c	2,949$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.23	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	1c	2,350$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	2,237$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	8c	2,153$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.32	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	6c	2,112$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.45	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes	5c	2,055$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	11c	1,864$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	6c	1,609$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,564$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.65	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	1,500$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.24	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	5c	1,500$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.16	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	8c	1,415$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.02	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	7c	1,300$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	197	31%61 W · 136 L	+13.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	4c	1,260$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	16c	1,222$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.54	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,168$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.03	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	1c	1,150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	9c	1,149$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb44…d480backed Yes	10c	1,100$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	1,090$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	11c	1,015$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.15	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	1,013$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.38	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	17c	999.98$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	954.83$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.29	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	815.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	651.63$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.57	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	4c	651.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	644.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	612.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	584.31$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.73	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes	6c	558.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes	18c	554.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	10c	552.25$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	3c	548.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	9c	539.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.08	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	11c	527.42$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.83	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…d34bbacked Yes	6c	507.02$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d3…afadbacked Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	10c	499.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	4c	499.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	494.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	9c	488.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	11c	452.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	3c	449.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+207.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	6c	445.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	10c	430.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.17	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x580f…e755backed Yes	14c	428.86$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.86	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd618…cce6backed Yes	4c	416.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	10c	376.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	9c	370.88$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes	6c	351.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	343.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	8c	342.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	8c	332$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	7c	329.56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	311.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	9c	308.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0670…09c7backed Yes	16c	299.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	12c	281.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afc…314bbacked Yes	8c	273.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	270.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	11c	270.38$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3821…bde6backed Yes	6c	245.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	10c	233.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	15c	203.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c9…83b5backed Yes	11c	199.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…f127backed Yes	7c	199.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	12c	196$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.67	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1239…f34cbacked Yes	16c	183.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-64%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	14c	179.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	8c	166$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	16c	160$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	8c	156.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	9c	154.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	17c	150.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	9c	150.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f7…9ed6backed Yes	7c	144$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes	9c	130.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	12c	120.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67b…1ac0backed Yes	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b5…e8a3backed Yes	17c	111.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	105.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes	17c	104.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd693…dc76backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55f…9475backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event