Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2016dfb03cf7747f97aae915cc67c16eb4b341aa61882bf73b877892e632da

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $232,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $171,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	14c	20,469$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,772.67	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	13,780$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.69	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	5c	7,030$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.6	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	21c	5,831$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.6	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	5,314$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.95	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	4,990$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.45	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	14c	3,636$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,600$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	79c	3,215$2,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.57	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	4c	3,076$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.75	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	2,706$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	78c	2,553$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.1	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	21c	2,500$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.29	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	2,322$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.71	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	11c	2,295$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.94	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	2c	2,252$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	5c	2,191$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	2,101$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.05	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	27c	2,014$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.35	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,010$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.98	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	18c	2,000$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.35	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	4c	1,800$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.17	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	26c	1,767$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.19	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	19c	1,734$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.65	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c48…6b72backed Yes	24c	1,693$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	30c	1,663$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	9c	1,595$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.86	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	20c	1,573$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.06	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	12c	1,470$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes	4c	1,396$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	1,340$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.95	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	23c	1,162$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.79	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	80c	1,123$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.78	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	34c	1,100$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.96	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb436…e97ebacked Yes	6c	1,048$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes	20c	1,000$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.46	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb44…d480backed Yes	10c	1,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	996.24$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.9	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	976.1$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	908.4$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.52	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	877.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.32	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	858.7$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.2	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	769.36$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.29	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	14c	768.06$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	763.92$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.79	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	755$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes	11c	727.45$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.49	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	15c	721.87$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.64	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	8c	699.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.98	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes	16c	626.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	611.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	2c	610.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	72c	599.97$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0670…09c7backed Yes	13c	596.27$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.48	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x289a…f184backed Yes	15c	581.38$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	6c	570$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	560$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.64	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	28c	532.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90af…a42cbacked No	72c	530.31$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.02	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	14c	525.19$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.82	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	24c	510.78$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.12	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d3…afadbacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	27c	499.73$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.01	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	10c	467.44$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	12c	464.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.77	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	73c	459.98$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	16c	445.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	11c	444.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.45	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	11c	436.48$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	35c	429.85$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.51	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	74c	413.23$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.3	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	405.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd618…cce6backed Yes	5c	404.12$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	30c	401.9$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.67	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca4…4d3bbacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	26c	384.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	27c	367.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67b…1ac0backed Yes	18c	360$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.2	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	32c	342.32$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	3c	335.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	14c	332$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	27c	328.9$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	9c	327$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	315$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	31c	301.01$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.31	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed No	70c	300$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.67	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	76c	298.17$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.19	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Yes	24c	293.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	259	44.4%115 W · 144 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	28c	271.18$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.93	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	30c	261.43$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.43	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	24c	255$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…9999backed Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	72c	236.03$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.19	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	13c	233.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	30c	233.4$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	16c	232.93$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	24c	224.73$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c9…83b5backed Yes	18c	201.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.35	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event