TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x180f…0c07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7626.3%20 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$174.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$364.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$183.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$217.77
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$76.88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$79.5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$197.5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.49
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.94
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$82.35
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$270
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$710
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$164.99
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.54
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$117.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$67.29
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$359
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$51.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+91.1%+$143
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$126
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$212
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$78.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$112
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$177.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,429.96
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$67.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$310
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41.7%+$1,030
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$77.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-76.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.