TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$705,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes42c178,281$74,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,577.253234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No59c156,285$91,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,376.4216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes37c91,144$33,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,675.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No64c41,108$26,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,842.7810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No58c30,539$17,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,813.7517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c19,460$7,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,872.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No63c17,268$10,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,389.313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c15,868$7,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,647.032,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes40c15,543$6,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,217.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No61c13,608$8,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.112560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No62c11,309$7,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,304.669350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes41c8,873$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.791,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No31c8,402$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,797.614261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No60c8,265$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.929856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No58c5,849$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.513155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c5,331$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.9849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9214450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c4,880$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95218453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c4,859$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.281,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes37c4,681$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c4,529$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.2514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Yes42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7748…8befbacked Yes66c3,983$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No59c3,902$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.6618362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes39c3,705$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.13540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No58c3,412$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.9615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c3,173$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes54c3,033$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.986550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes23c2,567$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No61c2,560$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.169660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No64c2,549$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.4814258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes40c2,532$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.662725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No60c2,368$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.161752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes43c2,222$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9646651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c1,958$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.332158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes37c1,651$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.855356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes37c1,634$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.491729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No61c1,607$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.882050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No57c1,559$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.562564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes75c1,559$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.723154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes31c1,540$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.2225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes39c1,404$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.949352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes32c1,401$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.687162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c1,302$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.21,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c1,211$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4688348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes67c1,162$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No60c1,076$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8613151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes54c1,019$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0339555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c1,018$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes43c1,005$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes67c1,005$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.13138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+112.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No58c996.84$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6726651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No59c996.66$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4810951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes32c989.18$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.549373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Yes41c954.78$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.461145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+129.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09a8…aff0backed No22c953.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No34c953.07$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.033125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No57c931.79$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes41c879.9$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.765518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No58c877.32$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4714355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes60c876.4$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes68c873.96$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c863$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c855.76$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.981,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes32c826.83$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes40c821.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8320651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes36c799.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2887240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No61c794.48$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0111555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No58c779.84$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5314354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd6…bfa7backed Yes71c771.62$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb6…a3c6backed No57c769.11$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes40c738.52$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5423556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes42c617.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9514658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes41c603.7$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.528345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes40c601.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24116757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No34c567.13$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.073852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes41c542.11$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.266448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes32c539.55$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.668375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes40c524.38$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.183562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c506.33$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b37…936dbacked Yes36c493.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes41c488$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.86229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf95…7e16backed Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.043141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No64c458.84$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.322157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.