TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d1d…afd2backed No0c22,812$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c15,283$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes60c8,690$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.669660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No1c7,651$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No0c7,628$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.123658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No0c7,628$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1216053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No0c7,628$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1212543.2%54 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No0c7,628$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.125952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No0c7,628$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.197263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No0c7,614$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No0c7,613$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No0c7,613$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0921254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No0c7,613$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No0c7,600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed No0c7,492$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No68c7,262$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.339749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No0c7,103$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.8316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No0c5,007$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No68c5,000$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.7314450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes32c4,341$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c4,005$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.882,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No32c3,876$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c3,820$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No0c3,734$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.418549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No0c3,526$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.124257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c3,461$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.072,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes9c3,158$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.4536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes31c2,827$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.66526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes13c2,764$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+361.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.874259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes31c2,319$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.243342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No68c2,225$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No68c2,185$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.959055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb3…2868backed Yes27c2,124$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c2,100$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No76c1,860$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes30c1,711$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.75356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c1,672$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.2874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c1,597$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.215735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c1,594$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.951,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes33c1,576$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.158345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes32c1,228$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.583043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes32c1,100$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.998756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No68c1,090$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No4c1,035$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.752544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked Yes6c1,014$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes31c1,005$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.443531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes11c1,000$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8893545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No67c999.88$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9222746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes10c974.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.941926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes33c959.8$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.076150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c949.3$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.511,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes32c899.25$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.493847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No72c896.22$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5210253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No57c832.93$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No72c818.51$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.338659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c794.27$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.811,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No2c787.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.813369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No2c777.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6310049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No2c775.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.139752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No4c774.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6913748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No4c774.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6920259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No4c774.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6916757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c674.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c659.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56525225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked No69c627.14$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.722259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes19c575.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2814975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes33c523.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.762835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No68c504.82$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.282552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No68c504.82$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No44c462.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes30c383.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2410736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d54…32b5backed Yes33c357.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No72c329.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9110579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c311.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.641,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes9c311.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+296.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.831546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Yes33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.872532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes33c290.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+162.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.161833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes30c287.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.184136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb70…e2dcbacked Yes69c284.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked No4c280.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes16c271.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No68c270$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.517335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes32c222$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9617337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No69c211.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6810252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes9c199.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.998149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c193.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes64c190.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.112560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Yes10c189.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.283745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Yes33c187.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.934065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No34c186$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.796040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes33c177.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.871625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.