TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes29c132,414$38,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,255.0811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No71c35,211$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,211.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c33,092$23,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,712.082,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c25,000$17,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2503971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes31c17,940$5,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,483.655356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c17,734$12,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,206.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c15,427$10,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.841,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes31c13,663$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,191.627750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c13,554$9,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043.332,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7406147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c5,550$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.574,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No71c4,868$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.669061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c4,666$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.234856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No71c4,174$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.462138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.991392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes4c3,845$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes27c3,693$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.154637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c3,500$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c3,437$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.1555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No33c3,090$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No71c2,812$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.377061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c1,942$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No72c1,935$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.424261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Yes29c1,743$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes52c1,611$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.1774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No73c1,426$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.982544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.322875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes1c1,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5510049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes1c1,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5516757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes1c1,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5513748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes1c1,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5520259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes1c1,255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.559752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c1,245$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0826319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes1c1,230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes5c1,221$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes1c1,168$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6821254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked No71c1,155$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No76c1,151$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed No8c1,100$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0162313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No12c1,100$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9651723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked No12c1,100$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No71c1,096$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31720040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…e9a8backed Yes6c1,095$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No76c1,031$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.668375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes32c1,023$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.083234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.224744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes24c978.26$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.783138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No71c907.68$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.239753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c904.63$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3459445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26114355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No70c789.01$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No77c767.51$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.759373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes19c751.11$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.716526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c721.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes20c714$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.82917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked No4c689.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.981010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes28c685.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.92128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No75c656.67$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1710579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No71c642.96$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.461471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17412757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No21c599.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No27c583.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.785151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked No9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455825%2 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+163.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c496.94$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c435.21$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c420$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No71c420$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c396.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8912233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No71c393$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.974862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c383.63$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.691,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes28c380.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2216024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes32c379.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.592556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c370$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c353.43$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.586,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Yes74c350.34$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed No9c350$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.51711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.744734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes29c313.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.952740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed No72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8712558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8711457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8710558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.