Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18de8ff089716e2bc25864d71e38f1b818b4ee425cb52d8d8b66288cfd75b8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 5,507$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.14 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 115 | 21.7%25 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 9c | 4,124$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.51 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 4c | 3,041$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 8c | 2,441$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 14c | 1,985$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 1,912$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.22 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 15c | 1,761$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 1,699$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 19c | 1,409$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 1,319$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 3c | 1,251$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 85 | 3.5%3 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 1,044$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 16c | 902.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 21c | 876.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 18c | 723.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 20c | 573.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 484.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 427.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 5c | 410.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 400$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…2faabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 13c | 387.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 318.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Team Secret Whales | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Team Secret Whales | 79c | 252.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…9d82backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 245$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 208.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Secret Whales | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…6b50backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 199.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 313 | 27.8%87 W · 226 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 21c | 198.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 168.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 326 | 53.4%174 W · 152 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 166.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 13c | 161.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 150.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 17c | 142.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 137.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 18c | 135.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 448 | 50.7%227 W · 221 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Team Secret Whales | 80c | 122.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 117.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 20c | 113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…92b4backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…cbc2backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 85.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Secret Whales | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…269abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 25c | 55.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…d27abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 50.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 297 | 61.6%183 W · 114 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 45.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Team Secret Whales | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…6d57backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked Team Secret Whales | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 74cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagethis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.