Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19fbbde12b7abd53d0b6b3fbaf5badd27d5bbad82e55ca9c33b0a34f9ad06386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Over | 60c | 3,694$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.5 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 60c | 2,870$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed Over | 62c | 2,200$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.4 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 60c | 1,708$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 40c | 999.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 39c | 978.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.82 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 43c | 897.95$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.62 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Over | 60c | 842.66$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 39c | 772.17$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Over | 60c | 724.48$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 649.49$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 59c | 580.92$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 59c | 516.33$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.65 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 60c | 471.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 39c | 354.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 60c | 321.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 58c | 277.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 42c | 269.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 60c | 256.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 39c | 256.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Over | 61c | 244.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 39c | 188.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 60c | 148.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Over | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 62c | 147.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 40c | 95.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 60c | 85.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 39c | 73.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 61c | 69.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 38c | 58.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 63c | 51.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Over | 60c | 48.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Over | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Over | 57c | 42.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 39c | 39.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 39c | 37.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 38c | 27.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 60c | 25.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…05efbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group StageTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.