TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0165…d91b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick74cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked MAGAZA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williamsbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs eSuba (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked JAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Cbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)backed CA Tigre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Juliana Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.