CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39d2273f52d1560636ed35d41d570ec35c193f66e72f654980328b0798373c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 77c | 6,610$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.26 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA | 77c | 3,349$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.2 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA | 75c | 2,453$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 2,426$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 1,270$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 1,269$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 1,110$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 879.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 869.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 720.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 635.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 602.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 77c | 522.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 508.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 225 | 41.8%94 W · 131 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 477.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 77c | 434.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 339.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 326.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 307.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d60abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 296.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 293.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 283.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 276.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 266$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed BESTIA | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked BESTIA | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 197.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BESTIA | 73c | 192.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 172$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 162.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked BESTIA | 79c | 113.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 141 | 68.8%97 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 102.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed BESTIA | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 96.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed BESTIA | 79c | 94.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BESTIA | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed BESTIA | 78c | 75.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked BESTIA | 71c | 70.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 64.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked BESTIA | 77c | 64.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 62.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BESTIA | 79c | 61.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed BESTIA | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed BESTIA | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed BESTIA | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed BESTIA | 78c | 35.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed BESTIA | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed BESTIA | 57c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed BESTIA | 78c | 20.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed BESTIA | 76c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked BESTIA | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked BESTIA | 73c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked BESTIA | 76c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.