CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9008ede52fc85c86cada319916c4dd9a302d1b7d9d3b99de59a6daf49682baa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 80c | 5,950$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 20c | 1,865$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 22c | 806.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 19c | 789.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 22c | 769.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 22c | 498.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 19c | 315.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 19c | 263.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 19c | 246.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 19c | 213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 22c | 195.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 22c | 151.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 78c | 135$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 27c | 125.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 73c | 125.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 78c | 31.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.