CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74690be75dd2b29725c985bbf0aa92f89ce5c049bae180dc71cbdfe3273716dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 901.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed METANOIA WOLVES | 10c | 399.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 392.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 77c | 337.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed BESTIA | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 290.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 261.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 6c | 228.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 199.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA | 76c | 196.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked BESTIA | 71c | 191.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 190$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 185.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 176$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 9c | 161.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 155.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked BESTIA | 77c | 122.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BESTIA | 80c | 115.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 105.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 100.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 94.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 91.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 89.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 81.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…faaabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 78.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 69.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed BESTIA | 78c | 56.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…823bbacked BESTIA | 80c | 48.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed BESTIA | 79c | 19.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked BESTIA | 59c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BESTIA | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.