CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c82093780da4342e47eb5fdae6280bf34a429e086f22c9957906695f6d972c1

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: BESTIAof BESTIA, METANOIA WOLVES
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,530 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked METANOIA WOLVES	9c	5,093$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.69	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed METANOIA WOLVES	5c	3,414$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.55	519	42.2%219 W · 300 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed METANOIA WOLVES	12c	3,338$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.48	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked METANOIA WOLVES	12c	2,833$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-8.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed METANOIA WOLVES	23c	2,013$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.09	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked METANOIA WOLVES	10c	1,809$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.85	69	72.5%50 W · 19 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked METANOIA WOLVES	8c	1,607$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.56	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked METANOIA WOLVES	14c	1,263$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.97	341	40.8%139 W · 202 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed METANOIA WOLVES	8c	1,012$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.06	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked METANOIA WOLVES	40c	909.26$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.28	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed METANOIA WOLVES	8c	893.6$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.55	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked METANOIA WOLVES	6c	850.3$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed METANOIA WOLVES	11c	849.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed METANOIA WOLVES	7c	809.43$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.66	336	27.7%93 W · 243 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	770$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked METANOIA WOLVES	9c	657.45$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	652.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed BESTIA	62c	617.57$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.01	122	71.3%87 W · 35 L	+18.5wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked METANOIA WOLVES	11c	578.86$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.87	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked METANOIA WOLVES	5c	509.89$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked METANOIA WOLVES	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed METANOIA WOLVES	7c	479.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	439.83$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	758	33.4%253 W · 505 L	-48.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed METANOIA WOLVES	8c	403.78$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	378	48.1%182 W · 196 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed BESTIA	65c	398.32$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.83	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed BESTIA	59c	391.61$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.56	351	53.8%189 W · 162 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES	9c	386$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.74	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES	8c	383.91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked METANOIA WOLVES	8c	350.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed METANOIA WOLVES	10c	346.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked METANOIA WOLVES	18c	339.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	227	29.1%66 W · 161 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked METANOIA WOLVES	22c	337.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.78	226	45.1%102 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed METANOIA WOLVES	33c	334$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.14	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	321.43$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	156	37.2%58 W · 98 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed BESTIA	75c	312$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked BESTIA	64c	276.2$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.89	265	54.3%144 W · 121 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked BESTIA	76c	204.21$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	201$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f25…d5debacked BESTIA	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed METANOIA WOLVES	10c	188.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES	7c	174.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES	8c	171.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed METANOIA WOLVES	7c	171.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed METANOIA WOLVES	33c	160$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed METANOIA WOLVES	30c	133.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…211bbacked BESTIA	78c	116.79$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed METANOIA WOLVES	16c	114.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	217	50.7%110 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked METANOIA WOLVES	22c	101.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	143	31.5%45 W · 98 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed METANOIA WOLVES	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed METANOIA WOLVES	12c	89.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	414	37%153 W · 261 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked BESTIA	79c	72.45$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.21	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.3wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed METANOIA WOLVES	18c	67.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked BESTIA	66c	66.3$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.67	445	63.8%284 W · 161 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed BESTIA	75c	62$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.52	338	49.7%168 W · 170 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked BESTIA	69c	61.86$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked METANOIA WOLVES	25c	54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked BESTIA	75c	53.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	232	44.8%104 W · 128 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d4…e361backed BESTIA	77c	50.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+4.6wins	+0.29per pick	59cpaid	+56%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed BESTIA	67c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	96	62.5%60 W · 36 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed BESTIA	70c	49.25$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	210	52.4%110 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86dd…1af2backed METANOIA WOLVES	24c	47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ca5…80f5backed METANOIA WOLVES	23c	43.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked BESTIA	66c	37.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed BESTIA	71c	37.44$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked BESTIA	72c	34.38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA	67c	32.33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked BESTIA	76c	30.38$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…9a5cbacked BESTIA	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked BESTIA	74c	29.21$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	324	63%204 W · 120 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked BESTIA	80c	24.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked BESTIA	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed BESTIA	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	609	54%329 W · 280 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed BESTIA	72c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	457	48.1%220 W · 237 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314f…e463backed BESTIA	71c	14.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.26	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)BESTIA won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event