TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f25…d5de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.48
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked banda chuya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$129.6
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.9
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$35.7
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Cbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.3
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$63.4
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs beznegativa (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.1
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$13.39
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.84
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$35.1
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$77.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bbacked VooDooSh Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winnerbacked KW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$88.2
Dota 2: KW vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked KW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+89%+$47.1
Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.29
Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$52.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.