Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf85085e30bb606a57b03587fd583c42268470954d3756e02481092207cddce90

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: KWof KW, Team Syntax
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KW	57c	2,874$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.3	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked KW	39c	1,456$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.8	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Syntax	72c	1,360$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.22	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax	10c	1,316$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.57	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed Team Syntax	10c	1,202$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.67	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Team Syntax	59c	1,156$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.98	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Team Syntax	6c	1,021$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Team Syntax	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Syntax	17c	1,000$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.7	344	42.2%145 W · 199 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Team Syntax	71c	913.44$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked KW	51c	903.73$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.7	327	56.9%186 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked KW	58c	868.99$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb7…1dd0backed KW	34c	736.62$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.62	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax	25c	704.96$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.24	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed KW	46c	654.48$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.48	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed KW	65c	619.66$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.66	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax	69c	552.84$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.93	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Syntax	35c	549.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.87	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a9…fc3fbacked Team Syntax	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Syntax	66c	500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed KW	42c	478$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.5	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+11.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed KW	46c	438.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.61	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Syntax	41c	418.48$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.97	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Team Syntax	24c	345.29$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.31	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KW	56c	344.55$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.19	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked KW	45c	334.65$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.9	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KW	65c	327.96$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.26	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed KW	38c	310$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.2	280	44.3%124 W · 156 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Team Syntax	26c	275.23$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Team Syntax	56c	269.97$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.28	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed KW	40c	238.99$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.39	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Syntax	24c	228.37$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…7691backed Team Syntax	44c	227$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.68	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec1…9a95backed Team Syntax	9c	221$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-9.3wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1433…af79backed KW	55c	220.22$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax	43c	195.05$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.2	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Syntax	50c	182$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	281	45.6%128 W · 153 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df3…1411backed Team Syntax	66c	169.1$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Syntax	55c	167.75$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.93	475	48%228 W · 247 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Team Syntax	68c	163.29$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed KW	32c	162.82$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.72	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Syntax	60c	158.33$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	159	57.9%92 W · 67 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax	30c	143.86$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed KW	58c	130.56$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.84	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked KW	39c	123.12$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.46	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed Team Syntax	49c	120.09$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Team Syntax	50c	116.49$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax	37c	112.28$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed KW	36c	111.39$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.39	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Team Syntax	25c	108$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked KW	45c	107.61$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.19	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	63cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed KW	65c	103.59$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Syntax	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	208	20.7%43 W · 165 L	-18.8wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed KW	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	324	45.1%146 W · 178 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KW	48c	91.58$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.68	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Syntax	25c	88.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Team Syntax	22c	86.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	234	42.7%100 W · 134 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed KW	40c	83.96$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.39	294	32.3%95 W · 199 L	-19.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked KW	45c	78.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Syntax	67c	75.41$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Team Syntax	28c	75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5f…6219backed KW	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Syntax	66c	67.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Syntax	48c	61.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed Team Syntax	48c	61.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax	51c	53.45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Syntax	70c	52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	225	62.2%140 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Team Syntax	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed KW	34c	46.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KW	34c	46.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Team Syntax	68c	44.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed KW	61c	42$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	138	27.5%38 W · 100 L	-15.0wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Team Syntax	65c	41.61$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x599e…6578backed KW	45c	38.44$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.05	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed KW	38c	36.69$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Team Syntax	63c	35.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	207	67.1%139 W · 68 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Team Syntax	62c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f25…d5debacked Team Syntax	71c	29.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Team Syntax	60c	29.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-5.8wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax	59c	28.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed KW	57c	25.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Team Syntax	66c	22.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked KW	68c	22.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.16	302	51.7%156 W · 146 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed KW	54c	21.77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	426	39.4%168 W · 258 L	-39.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Syntax	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Team Syntax	67c	19.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec3…5476backed Team Syntax	64c	18.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AKW won
Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerKW won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event