TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: KW vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KWof KW, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed KW40c15,009$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,005.3147146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed Team Syntax75c5,634$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.513554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Syntax60c4,304$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.6525446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked KW23c2,888$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.9389341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax59c2,550$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.861,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed KW42c2,358$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.0613943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Team Syntax71c1,707$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed KW37c1,634$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.1647953.9%258 W · 221 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed KW39c1,462$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.8629952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Syntax59c1,456$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1750347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed Team Syntax7c1,348$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.641936.8%7 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed KW29c1,300$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.032540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked KW79c1,220$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0291756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax66c1,219$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Syntax15c1,022$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4240534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Syntax60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033951.3%174 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Team Syntax71c1,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70545457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61079559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Team Syntax59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked KW34c998.03$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.211,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Syntax60c976.38$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1150769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax72c916.39$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.832756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Syntax69c862.76$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4347457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KW29c795.06$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.492,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed KW29c627.73$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3613336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Syntax60c548.33$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32916055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a9…fc3fbacked Team Syntax2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Syntax65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32528044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed KW41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked KW43c465.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4911154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax61c459.39$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.921,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked KW40c458.15$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.891,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax66c436.32$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.971,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…2c88backed Team Syntax60c422.4$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Team Syntax70c382.49$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Syntax59c373.88$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.89444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Team Syntax74c373.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1716750.3%84 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed KW30c339.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7780244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed Team Syntax60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax64c316.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8992846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed KW34c311.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4827637.3%103 W · 173 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Syntax69c294.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6910537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Syntax78c292.68$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2932548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Syntax78c290$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22533165.3%216 W · 115 L+23.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked KW40c264.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.48750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Team Syntax14c260$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.412446.8%58 W · 66 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Team Syntax10c251$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518549.7%92 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e2…c00ebacked Team Syntax60c233.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax61c219.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.811,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Syntax60c205.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2414542.1%61 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Syntax66c201.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.991,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Team Syntax14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288052.5%42 W · 38 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Team Syntax14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed KW26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14831444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4994…3e36backed KW48c173.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.069964.6%64 W · 35 L+19.9wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+67.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Syntax57c166.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9515957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Syntax62c158.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3122462.1%139 W · 85 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Team Syntax71c157.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.925352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed Team Syntax60c155$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Syntax77c154.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.729555.8%53 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Syntax57c154$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.789848%47 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Syntax37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620421.1%43 W · 161 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f25…d5debacked Team Syntax66c149.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dde…efdfbacked KW40c148.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.833033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Syntax64c145$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9943649.1%214 W · 222 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Team Syntax60c144.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.712147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax53c144.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7688938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Team Syntax60c141.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed Team Syntax71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Syntax27c127.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9840933%135 W · 274 L-36.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd788…5f8ebacked KW35c122.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.932352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Syntax56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6552638.4%202 W · 324 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Syntax67c114.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3558742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked KW40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024542.4%104 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Team Syntax70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked KW65c95.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5741246.8%193 W · 219 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed KW29c88.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.682254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1785…a867backed Team Syntax60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax60c81.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0115551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5f…6219backed Team Syntax64c78.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KW22c76.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3778516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Syntax72c75.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9917138%65 W · 106 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed KW35c68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3123938.5%92 W · 147 L-18.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Team Syntax57c67.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4850247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Syntax60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036452.5%191 W · 173 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Team Syntax63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Team Syntax63c60.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.118050%40 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.265447.4%310 W · 344 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked Team Syntax71c57.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.894153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Syntax54c57.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0167932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked KW25c52.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.410635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Syntax67c51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0158346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Team Syntax61c50.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.813148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb2…647dbacked KW20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc1…9a14backed Team Syntax60c47.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Team Syntax63c46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912353.7%66 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed KW29c44.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed KW29c44.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.342254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax28c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8466545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Team Syntax73c41.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.493250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.