CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a36cf06c37602948b4cfc8be96c0c31d8d3c7bcece8b2f2b3120b2df3a492d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, LEO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.98 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked LEO | 47c | 2,145$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed LEO | 48c | 1,620$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 993.91$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LEO | 45c | 857.79$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.63 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked LEO | 28c | 846.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LEO | 13c | 716$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked LEO | 36c | 620.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 542.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | +17.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…ec08backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 505.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LEO | 17c | 446.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 435.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LEO | 27c | 423$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LEO | 26c | 420.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed LEO | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 417.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4a…eba9backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 413.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 345.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked LEO | 20c | 316.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked LEO | 30c | 304.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LEO | 15c | 302.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked LEO | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked LEO | 30c | 299.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 76c | 272.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed LEO | 24c | 254.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked LEO | 32c | 246.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 243.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed LEO | 25c | 232.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 232$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 214.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 201$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 193.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed LEO | 36c | 190$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 189.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…4d80backed LEO | 44c | 188.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked LEO | 27c | 175.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 166.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed LEO | 24c | 147.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 133.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 78c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed LEO | 27c | 99.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked LEO | 32c | 95.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 93.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LEO | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed LEO | 24c | 83.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed LEO | 23c | 76.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked LEO | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 72.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed LEO | 52c | 64.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 63.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 60.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LEO | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed LEO | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 54.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked MOUZ NXT | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed LEO | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 45.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed LEO | 25c | 41.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 38.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LEO | 36c | 34.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed MOUZ NXT | 80c | 31.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LEO | 48c | 28.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MOUZ NXT | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.