Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb59536a7b987a4efc8a20b101baf65449a7dd5247e77e38c3344fadce882416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 30,186$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 18,571$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.74 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 15,289$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.48 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 13,181$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 74c | 9,455$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 79c | 9,318$7,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.42 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 7,119$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.64 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 6,781$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.45 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 4,038$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.75 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,700$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 3,600$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 3,198$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,617$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 2,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 2,100$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,896$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.49 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,869$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,779$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,771$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.46 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,456$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.25 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,447$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 1,257$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,211$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,043$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 830$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 786.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 749.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 75c | 734.87$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 713.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 684.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…c941backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 658.57$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 643.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 612.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 582.6$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Falcons | 75c | 555.71$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 78c | 500.02$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 472.11$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Falcons | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Team Falcons | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 350$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 306.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 74c | 291.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Falcons | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 245.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Team Falcons | 74c | 217.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 174.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…11aabacked Team Falcons | 79c | 172.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 160.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Falcons | 76c | 147.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…d17bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 131.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 125.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 118.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 110.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Team Falcons | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 96.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…3812backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 82.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 82.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 72.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Falcons | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Falcons | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Team Falcons | 75c | 50.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 43.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 39.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 32.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Team Falcons | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 22.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Falcons | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Team Falcons | 74c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.