CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507bd8afd24a93aa995b7963e1999a61d28aac617d766591c8fb08d5aa712554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Galorys | 18c | 7,246$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.52 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 72c | 2,566$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed ShindeN | 64c | 1,248$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Galorys | 11c | 915.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galorys | 23c | 812.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked ShindeN | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Galorys | 3c | 688.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Galorys | 26c | 612.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Galorys | 33c | 597.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Galorys | 31c | 559.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Galorys | 35c | 460$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN | 70c | 352.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Galorys | 23c | 241.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ShindeN | 63c | 240.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Galorys | 7c | 202.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Galorys | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Galorys | 11c | 157.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed ShindeN | 64c | 155.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Galorys | 23c | 130.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ShindeN | 73c | 98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ShindeN | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ShindeN | 76c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked ShindeN | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed ShindeN | 63c | 79.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked ShindeN | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked ShindeN | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 67c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked ShindeN | 72c | 71.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Galorys | 38c | 61.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ShindeN | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Galorys | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Galorys | 23c | 51.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galorys | 29c | 37.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Galorys | 37c | 32.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Galorys | 33c | 31.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed ShindeN | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 62c | 23.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ShindeN | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 69c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed ShindeN | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.