Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8097214989901a64039674a8431fa9d94e9a8ca2f1f94cca2dce52df57f3a302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.92 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 854.56$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 848.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.11 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 547.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 501$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…1a8dbacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 433.7$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 411.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 377.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Leviatan Esports | 51c | 342.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Leviatan Esports | 47c | 232.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 200.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Leviatan Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Leviatan Esports | 9c | 199.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 195.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 158.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 132.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Leviatan Esports | 48c | 108.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 104.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 101.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Fluxo W7M | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Leviatan Esports | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 94.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 74.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Leviatan Esports | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Leviatan Esports | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Leviatan Esports | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 49.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 49.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Leviatan Esports | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 26.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…dd73backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.