TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6777…1a8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT22751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 227 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$83.1
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63%+$126.08
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$136
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+59%+$133.6
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.06
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$87.47
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$65.66
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$125.6
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$223.38
LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifierbacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$114.21
LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$129.57
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$132.3
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$99.99
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$60.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$125.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$109.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.