Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f65bfb31236b0a83b75a4ece401e8ebe7ade332201a6ce773fd49e9b2fdb58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Heretics | 36c | 54,508$19,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,651.41 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 20,000$12,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,068.41 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 20,000$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.98 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…03aebacked Team Heretics | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.97 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 15,256$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.92 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Heretics | 38c | 15,000$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,723.61 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 14,428$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,482.59 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 13,060$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.02 | 451 | 48.1%217 W · 234 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 11,550$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.77 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 10,396$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.38 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Heretics | 35c | 9,238$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.46 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Heretics | 36c | 9,028$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 8,748$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Team Heretics | 36c | 8,691$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.41 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,005$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.05 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,326$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.1 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Heretics | 37c | 5,800$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.99 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Heretics | 30c | 5,800$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.78 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 5,738$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…8a55backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,199$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Team Heretics | 38c | 5,001$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.89 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,732$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.66 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,194$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.84 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Team Heretics | 27c | 3,996$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.03 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,980$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.12 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,952$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.71 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,914$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.94 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 3,800$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.99 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics | 34c | 3,555$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.7 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,489$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.22 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,386$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.53 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Team Heretics | 30c | 3,035$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.43 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Heretics | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,702$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.79 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 2,666$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 226 | 1.8%4 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,592$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.83 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,577$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.54 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Heretics | 36c | 2,542$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Heretics | 36c | 2,530$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.79 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,289$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.69 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team Heretics | 6c | 2,219$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,071$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.41 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…24d0backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,007$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.27 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Team Heretics | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 47.5%169 W · 187 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Heretics | 17c | 2,000$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Heretics | 36c | 1,949$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.06 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Heretics | 37c | 1,927$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.12 | 288 | 47.9%138 W · 150 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Heretics | 34c | 1,905$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.55 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Heretics | 36c | 1,877$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.97 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,847$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.98 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 1,758$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 1,743$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.47 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,681$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.21 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Team Heretics | 2c | 1,673$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,669$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,653$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.85 | 633 | 44.5%282 W · 351 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…1ad7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,524$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.58 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Heretics | 13c | 1,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Team Heretics | 36c | 1,506$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 1,466$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.31 | 274 | 46%126 W · 148 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics | 29c | 1,463$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Team Heretics | 29c | 1,447$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.58 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,400$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Heretics | 36c | 1,288$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics | 2c | 1,238$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Heretics | 38c | 1,197$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.3 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Heretics | 34c | 1,157$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,121$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 1,107$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.86 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Heretics | 36c | 1,103$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Team Heretics | 13c | 1,098$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Team Heretics | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 49%127 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,050$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…840ebacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Heretics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Team Heretics | 25c | 988.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…7aefbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 975.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 937.76$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 934.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.46 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 914.43$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 907.82$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.69 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…4fa9backed Team Heretics | 32c | 899.49$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 861.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Heretics | 5c | 834.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 383 | 39.7%152 W · 231 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 820.47$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 804.55$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Team Heretics | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 799.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 413 | 43.6%180 W · 233 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 795.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 788.58$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Heretics | 21c | 775.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.