Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9b6dea81e9016b8aaa6af65903fb7327e04340aaef506eb586273fd1b1bd08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 35,000$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.93 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…8a55backed Team Heretics | 11c | 23,141$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Team Heretics | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 3.3%3 W · 89 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Heretics | 7c | 15,300$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.58 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 15,283$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.72 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 15,199$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Heretics | 31c | 14,120$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.74 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 13,000$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 12,011$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics | 30c | 11,111$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.28 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Heretics | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Heretics | 27c | 8,802$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Heretics | 20c | 7,361$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.45 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 33c | 6,168$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.19 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Heretics | 33c | 6,154$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,873$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.62 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 5,300$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.68 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 5,206$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.68 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 5,025$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.87 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,023$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.53 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…7aefbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 4,756$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,225$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,157$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.73 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,148$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.84 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Team Heretics | 16c | 3,718$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,681$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.73 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 3,224$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked Team Heretics | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Team Heretics | 7c | 2,706$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 2,597$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.56 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 33c | 2,516$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.51 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,352$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.29 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,345$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.69 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,343$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.93 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Team Heretics | 35c | 2,325$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.75 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,315$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.36 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Heretics | 31c | 2,263$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…1ad7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,109$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.61 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics | 2c | 2,070$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Heretics | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Team Heretics | 33c | 2,000$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.3 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Heretics | 34c | 1,787$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.81 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,750$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.14 | 365 | 52.6%192 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,718$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.65 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Team Heretics | 30c | 1,654$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Heretics | 30c | 1,632$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.03 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Heretics | 21c | 1,599$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,543$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.18 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,530$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Heretics | 34c | 1,520$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.77 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Heretics | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team Heretics | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Heretics | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,479$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Heretics | 7c | 1,474$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Heretics | 24c | 1,441$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 1,349$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,310$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Heretics | 30c | 1,307$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,287$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f80…ce62backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 1,258$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,201$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Heretics | 29c | 1,184$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Heretics | 28c | 1,099$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,085$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,075$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 356 | 47.5%169 W · 187 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Team Heretics | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 43.6%180 W · 233 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed Team Heretics | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Team Heretics | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team Heretics | 11c | 954.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Heretics | 7c | 874.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 869.22$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 845.79$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Heretics | 29c | 747.14$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Team Heretics | 31c | 728.44$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 714.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 713.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…4fa9backed Team Heretics | 31c | 699.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7ecbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 679.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 177 | 12.4%22 W · 155 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 630.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Heretics | 36c | 605$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…3e22backed Team Heretics | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.