Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4284537fc00a8be5de5b7a76608a85e4a31db83ca4af430105acad7da68bea16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Team Heretics | 22c | 79,677$17,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,379.95 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Heretics | 31c | 59,209$18,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,548.35 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 32,435$22,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,054.88 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.02 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 30c | 29,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 20,942$14,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.48 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Heretics | 30c | 14,502$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Heretics | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Heretics | 29c | 6,873$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.17 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,535$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.3 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,232$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.9 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,148$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.45 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,717$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.23 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,435$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.37 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,916$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.32 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,884$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.86 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,579$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.6 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Team Heretics | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,400$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Heretics | 29c | 3,378$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.73 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,090$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics | 30c | 2,850$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 2,692$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.44 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,691$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.02 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Heretics | 29c | 2,666$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.07 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Team Heretics | 30c | 2,283$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.77 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Heretics | 31c | 2,124$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.74 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Heretics | 30c | 2,086$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.8 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Team Heretics | 29c | 2,037$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,013$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.93 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,006$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.84 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Heretics | 28c | 1,922$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.09 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 1,906$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,709$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.01 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,616$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,600$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…2ef3backed Team Heretics | 34c | 1,550$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Team Heretics | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Team Heretics | 29c | 1,415$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…0d70backed Team Heretics | 15c | 1,292$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,256$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…cb80backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,138$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…58d5backed Team Heretics | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 1,096$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 19c | 1,077$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,013$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.86 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…e5d8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…192ebacked Team Heretics | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 957.14$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 867.02$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 849.99$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Heretics | 29c | 799.94$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 795.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…4575backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 784.43$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Heretics | 27c | 775.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics | 32c | 740.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 733.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.31 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…735bbacked Team Heretics | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b57…8cc0backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 632.59$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Heretics | 35c | 613.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…3e22backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 592$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…6303backed Team Heretics | 18c | 512.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 500.69$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…c149backed Team Heretics | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 478.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Team Heretics | 11c | 473.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Heretics | 30c | 456$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Team Heretics | 30c | 427.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Team Heretics | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 399.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 250 | 65.6%164 W · 86 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 398.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 398.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Heretics | 28c | 374.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 358.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 343.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Team Heretics | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Team Heretics | 32c | 329.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Team Heretics | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.