Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d85c3fa6edcd9d71263511f9d11ee86ba767bfb1086d27a4bd2c4812907942f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Team Envy | 37c | 15,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed NRG | 63c | 11,347$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.49 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Envy | 37c | 6,398$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.43 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NRG | 63c | 5,344$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.45 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Envy | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Envy | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed NRG | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Envy | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed NRG | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed NRG | 63c | 2,794$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.55 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed NRG | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Envy | 37c | 1,410$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Envy | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed NRG | 63c | 995.79$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked NRG | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked NRG | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG | 64c | 792.56$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.32 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked NRG | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG | 64c | 765$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed NRG | 65c | 611.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Envy | 37c | 581.42$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Envy | 37c | 567.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Envy | 36c | 511.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed NRG | 63c | 458.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 63c | 420.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed NRG | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed NRG | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…1a8dbacked NRG | 63c | 339$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Envy | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Envy | 38c | 279.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Team Envy | 26c | 226.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked NRG | 64c | 196.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Envy | 33c | 195.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…3594backed NRG | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed NRG | 62c | 185.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Team Envy | 36c | 185.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed NRG | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…9064backed NRG | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked NRG | 64c | 139.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Envy | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Envy | 35c | 119.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…b1e1backed Team Envy | 38c | 116.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Team Envy | 38c | 103.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked NRG | 64c | 102.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Team Envy | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed NRG | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Team Envy | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Envy | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked Team Envy | 36c | 79.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…d2a4backed NRG | 64c | 56.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Envy | 36c | 53.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Team Envy | 36c | 51.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Envy | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed NRG | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed NRG | 65c | 44.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked NRG | 64c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked NRG | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NRG | 77c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f55dbacked NRG | 63c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked NRG | 64c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed NRG | 64c | 19.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked NRG | 64c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed NRG | 64c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed NRG | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed NRG | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked NRG | 64c | 16.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed NRG | 75c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.