Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d2a79e62b8b0c7e5d77b6da67aa38ac0ee497ed191d7069f3ce74da9cc5f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Team Envy, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Team Envy | 12c | 4,213$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.57 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Envy | 13c | 4,200$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.32 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Envy | 11c | 2,704$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Envy | 4c | 2,421$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d024backed Team Envy | 16c | 2,259$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Envy | 11c | 2,100$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Team Envy | 6c | 1,575$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Team Envy | 13c | 1,226$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Team Envy | 6c | 1,100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Envy | 9c | 1,036$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Team Envy | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Envy | 11c | 951$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Envy | 6c | 645$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed Team Envy | 13c | 507.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked Team Envy | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Envy | 6c | 448.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Envy | 2c | 445.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Team Envy | 9c | 386.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Envy | 15c | 379.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Envy | 4c | 369.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Team Envy | 15c | 312.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Team Envy | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Team Envy | 7c | 288.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Envy | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Envy | 7c | 229.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed Team Envy | 12c | 222.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Envy | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Team Envy | 10c | 153.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Team Envy | 12c | 114.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Team Envy | 13c | 106.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Team Envy | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.