TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof T1, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,157,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,300,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 619 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Gen.G65c122,307$79,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,022.325546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed T122c115,921$25,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,659.216046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed T143c115,894$49,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,755.323754.1%20 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed T134c100,836$34,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,483.8318429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gen.G74c55,062$40,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,445.961,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Gen.G61c47,987$29,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,759.7646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T138c41,717$15,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,852.411,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…5ad0backed T123c39,214$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.334639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Gen.G77c35,417$27,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,149.6496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c30backed Gen.G77c31,200$24,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,176580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked Gen.G58c25,421$14,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,677.036744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T122c25,132$5,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.061,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed T134c25,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Gen.G58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.983363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed T139c24,778$9,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,663.5720036.5%73 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked T137c22,100$8,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,157.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Gen.G79c20,000$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20017555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked T10c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20711.4%1 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Gen.G77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60032555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Gen.G60c19,495$11,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,849.271,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed T133c18,710$6,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,157.3343442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed T141c15,221$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,211.372536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked T134c15,000$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.832733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Gen.G78c14,000$10,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9848448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed T139c12,870$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gen.G59c12,310$7,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.592,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked T10c11,700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ef…a836backed Gen.G59c11,017$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,516.955100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Gen.G59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10020748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Gen.G59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Gen.G58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20014342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…a26ebacked Gen.G58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2005644.6%25 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Gen.G65c9,986$6,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.6834151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Gen.G78c9,600$7,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Gen.G79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.994337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Gen.G57c7,701$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.4338235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked T125c7,590$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3313530.4%41 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Gen.G63c7,427$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eae…a3f0backed T111c7,128$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.84010%4 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed T136c6,341$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.786637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Gen.G48c6,176$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.0269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gen.G59c6,151$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.5259554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Gen.G79c6,072$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Gen.G61c5,819$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.977248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed T136c5,767$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.0528836.8%106 W · 182 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Gen.G79c5,185$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.854055%22 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Gen.G80c5,095$4,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0196848.5%33 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Gen.G57c5,088$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.8425453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Gen.G79c5,083$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Gen.G79c5,064$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.655850%29 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Gen.G58c5,033$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.8619041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Gen.G73c5,013$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.955831%18 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Gen.G78c5,011$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.424856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked T110c5,000$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.177054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked T146c4,970$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.432119%4 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed T131c4,500$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gen.G66c4,273$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.431,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G77c4,102$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.521,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Gen.G72c4,012$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.418971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd75f…ddcbbacked Gen.G58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803540%14 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G59c3,998$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.791,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Gen.G60c3,972$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.5225944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0770…46aebacked Gen.G54c3,937$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+53.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed T141c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43532234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x124a…3741backed Gen.G57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50511438.6%44 W · 70 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Gen.G59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed T139c3,374$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked T141c3,242$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.8754934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked Gen.G60c3,184$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.897258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed T123c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69019239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gen.G54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gen.G54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.991,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked T153c2,998$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60117852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Gen.G58c2,946$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5215648.7%76 W · 80 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gen.G76c2,776$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.0522547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Gen.G59c2,620$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Gen.G78c2,556$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.325253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T142c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…9164backed T146c2,486$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Gen.G53c2,483$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.251,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Gen.G69c2,386$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3466559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked T121c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G71c2,362$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed T144c2,294$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.1717348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed T130c2,270$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked T113c2,058$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2223330%70 W · 163 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked T138c2,027$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77613429.1%39 W · 95 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Gen.G79c2,021$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.413860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked T121c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020946.4%97 W · 112 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed T123c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601540%6 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+699.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Gen.G78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Gen.G78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed T123c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46033845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f80…ce62backed Gen.G76c1,984$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.514854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbacb…8f92backed T141c1,941$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed T123c1,923$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.331,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed T147c1,895$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.3854529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G65c1,748$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.7195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed T115c1,728$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.772,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Gen.G72c1,655$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.12,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.