Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b7699b282dbc40d765f0f5677197830867573e7557b79efe2bea35d55528a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 5,001$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.97 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 50c | 3,668$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.68 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 50c | 3,171$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.75 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0e41backed Over | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 1,550$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.85 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 776.49$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.35 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 657.62$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.37 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 53c | 578.92$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Over | 47c | 404.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 336.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 296.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 38c | 229.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 220.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 51c | 199.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -14.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 182.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 173.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 56c | 123.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 48c | 111.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Over | 51c | 104.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…19f3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 54c | 97.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 49c | 90.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 52c | 89.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 83.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 64.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…227bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 37c | 49.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 37c | 41.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 357 | 44.5%159 W · 198 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…be17backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…11d1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…8749backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 39.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…7721backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 50c | 38.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…8c51backed Over | 50c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Under | 75c | 32.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 628 | 26%163 W · 465 L | -89.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7adbacked Over | 50c | 28.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 55c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…a3b8backed Over | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 51c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…1fd3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…d320backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.