TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof T1, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,227,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,405,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Gen.G60c54,151$32,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,471.671,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed T165c38,371$24,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,851.5115062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Gen.G60c33,717$20,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,383.4922451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked T129c28,344$8,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,277.1625244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf485…03aebacked T142c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.983030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Gen.G27c21,795$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,808.721,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce29…3b0dbacked Gen.G62c21,527$13,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,152.965952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed Gen.G49c20,385$10,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,370.757052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked T139c18,865$7,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,390.555928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed T126c18,817$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.451,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed T138c17,720$6,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,733.599144%40 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Gen.G64c17,500$11,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,342.1815148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Gen.G66c16,882$11,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,822.432150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Gen.G36c16,661$6,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.4551348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed T136c16,600$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.731040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…8c4bbacked Gen.G40c14,305$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,634.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3a…5ad0backed T131c13,921$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.674639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked T137c13,353$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked T138c11,690$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x203b…46e1backed T141c11,140$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.886755.2%37 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed T170c10,810$7,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,566.3212160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Gen.G77c10,669$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.930554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed T138c10,087$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.591,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G64c10,051$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.481,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Gen.G67c10,000$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.5791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G64c9,898$6,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.851,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Gen.G58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6921056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Gen.G59c8,363$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.6619150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T133c8,245$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.4596048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G54c7,965$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.671,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Gen.G67c7,905$5,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.274763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked T111c7,306$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.569535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Gen.G62c7,199$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.6220146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked T161c7,050$4,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,286.6225944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed T173c6,978$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.6348149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked T138c6,533$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.5644846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G49c6,133$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.591,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G61c5,879$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.5685442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G63c5,454$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.981,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked T139c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013530.4%41 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Gen.G74c5,008$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.4348157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Gen.G64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed T121c5,000$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.981,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked T11c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50711.4%1 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed T136c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.997642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T144c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.991,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked T126c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.7721859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed T134c4,996$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.5221347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Gen.G65c4,921$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9c…704ebacked Gen.G75c4,906$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.55865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed T133c4,473$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.0589347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x272b…075ebacked T134c4,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T124c4,370$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.7869741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked T137c4,325$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.031,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed T166c4,271$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.7816043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked T149c4,218$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.7666845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Gen.G66c4,163$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.357957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Gen.G45c4,000$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.4483560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Gen.G35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9948533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Gen.G56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9947533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Gen.G73c3,969$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.3221968%149 W · 70 L+28.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked T137c3,901$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.677054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Gen.G41c3,877$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.9666559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Gen.G59c3,866$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.3189943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed T136c3,798$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.811,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G49c3,765$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.2195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed T127c3,670$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Gen.G78c3,667$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.622070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked T127c3,661$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Gen.G72c3,613$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5138439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed T133c3,560$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.8862158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked T143c3,402$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.9634151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked T133c3,390$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.931,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed T134c3,357$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.3758559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked T138c3,300$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2546741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Gen.G72c3,278$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.151,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked T133c3,256$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.483745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Gen.G66c3,251$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.878860.2%53 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked T136c3,250$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.587844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Gen.G56c3,220$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.832555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked T135c3,179$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked T144c3,140$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.6328642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gen.G64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T136c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Gen.G64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…a26ebacked Gen.G56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.995644.6%25 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed T141c2,919$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.8929447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed T137c2,759$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.766844.1%30 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Gen.G73c2,756$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6221861%133 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gen.G47c2,548$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.7376142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked T168c2,533$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.9317953.1%95 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6ca7backed Gen.G56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Gen.G56c2,497$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.9328948.1%139 W · 150 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked T134c2,400$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed T144c2,340$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.619041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gen.G55c2,251$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.991,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Gen.G46c2,195$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.771,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed T136c2,157$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.1724147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gen.G77c2,006$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.331,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…829ebacked Gen.G71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.