TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6e2…11d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$17.09
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$13.11
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$262.66
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$59.84
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$691.98
LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$28.08
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$68.52
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203.5%+$58
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$9.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$46.11
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$10.14
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$13.34
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.4
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$18.36
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.99
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$34.27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.03
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.14
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.24
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+151.7%+$92.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$11.78
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.